In a couple of weeks’ time, the eyes of the gaming world will be on Los Angeles, as E3 2015 kicks off. As always, you can expect a barrage of game announcements, so we thought we’d have a bit of fun, and analyse the chances of ten much-rumoured titles making an appearance.
Odds of appearing… 1/2
Considering it hasn’t actually been announced, there sure has been a lot of Fallout 4 news recently. The rumour mill went into overdrive when Bethesda announced it would be staging its own E3 conference, but credible evidence exists too. For example, an employee of Guillermo del Toro’s production company claimed on his LinkedIn page that he worked on the game’s cinematic trailer. At this point, it would be much more surprising if Fallout 4 isn’t announced than if it is.
God of War 4
Odds of appearing… 3/1
Of all the games Sony could reveal at E3, a new God of War is probably the most likely. Let’s take a moment to review the evidence: 1) we know a GOW game is currently in development, with Cory Barlog as Creative Director; 2) in December, Shannon Studstill, head of SCE Santa Monica, teased more news from the studio in the coming months; and 3) God of War III: Remastered releases on PlayStation 4 in July. I rest my case. Now, I just hope I’m right; otherwise I’ll look really stupid.
Odds of appearing… 5/1
Guerrilla Games has been working on its second PS4 game since well before the release of Killzone: Shadow Fall, so I wouldn’t be surprised to see an official reveal at E3. Of course, if last year’s leak was genuine, then we already sort of know what to expect. Going under the working title of Horizon, the concept art showed a human tribe fighting mechanical dinosaurs. True to form, Sony has remained steadfastly silent, so hopefully we’ll find out soon whether the leak was the real deal.
Gran Turismo 7
Odds of appearing… 8/1
If you believed what series creator, Kazunori Yamauchi, said about Gran Turismo 7 a couple of years ago, it should have already been released by now. Of course, developer Polyphony Digital has a reputation for taking its time with the franchise, which explains why the most recent release estimate from Kaz is now 2015/16. At this stage, a 2015 release is very unlikely, but it’s more than possible we could see it in 2016; in which case a reveal at this year’s E3 makes sense.
Media Molecule game
Odds of appearing… 10/1
Like Guerrilla, Media Molecule has been working on a PS4 game for years now, but we haven’t heard anything about it since February 2013, when Alex Evans showed a PS Move tech demo at the console’s announcement. With the release of Tearaway: Unfolded scheduled for later this year, it would be understandable if Sony wanted to ship that game before revealing anything new from the studio. However, I still hold out a little hope for an appearance in two weeks.
Quantic Dream game
Odds of appearing… 10/1
We first learned that Quantic Dream was working on a PS4 game two years ago, before the console was even released. Since then, David Cage has revealed the impressive Dark Sorcerer tech demo, although this will likely have nothing to do with the actual game. The studio’s latest title, Beyond: Two Souls, was released back in October 2013, so an announcement of its next game is definitely possible; if vague, oxymoronic phrases like ‘definitely possible’ even make sense.
The Uncharted Trilogy
Odds of appearing… 25/1
Between 2014’s The Last of Us: Remastered and the upcoming God of War III: Remastered, Sony has clearly set a precedent for re-releasing PS3 games on PS4. However, Uncharted – easily the biggest PS3-exclusive franchise – has yet to make the jump to the current generation. Could we therefore see an Uncharted remaster before the arrival of Uncharted 4: A Thief’s End? More importantly, could there be an announcement at E3? Sony would be mad if they hadn’t at least considered it.
Odds of appearing… 35/1
Half-Life 3 is one of those titles that gamers are convinced exists, even though there is no actual evidence for it. In all likelihood, it probably does exist in some form, but whether we’ll see it at E3 is another matter entirely. But, you never know; at E3 2010, Gabe Newell shocked everyone by walking onto Sony’s stage and announcing Portal 2, so could he do the same with Half-Life 3 in 2015? It’s a long shot, but maybe our collective wishful thinking will count for something (spoiler: it won’t).
The Last Guardian
Odds of appearing… 50/1
It’s true that Team Ico’s The Last Guardian has a very good chance of being shown at this year’s E3. However, I’ve been saying that very same thing for the last five years, which is the reason why it’s been given such high odds here. Every June, we expect to see more from it, and we always come away disappointed. Sony has consistently reassured fans that the game is still in development, so you never know; maybe this will finally be the year we see it again… on PlayStation 4!
Odds of appearing… 100/1
Those of you with good memories will remember that The Last Guardian wasn’t the only game Sony revealed at E3 2009. Jack Tretton, then CEO of SCEA, also announced Agent, a PS3-exclusive from GTA creator, Rockstar North. Since then, there’s been little mention of it, although the trademark was renewed in 2013. Realistically, it’s unlikely we’ll see it again soon, but if by some miracle Agent is re-announced, the next question will be whether Sony’s exclusivity deal remains intact.